Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000193 0.000214 0.000237 0.000263 0.000293 0.000326 0.000365
2025-04-06 0.000150 0.000180 0.000215 0.000259 0.000313 0.000379 0.000464
2025-04-13 0.000120 0.000152 0.000192 0.000246 0.000317 0.000409 0.000538
2025-04-20 0.000105 0.000139 0.000184 0.000247 0.000335 0.000457 0.000639
2025-04-27 0.000096 0.000131 0.000180 0.000252 0.000359 0.000513 0.000759
2025-05-04 0.000086 0.000122 0.000172 0.000250 0.000371 0.000554 0.000862
2025-05-11 0.000079 0.000115 0.000168 0.000252 0.000388 0.000604 0.000985
2025-05-18 0.000072 0.000108 0.000162 0.000251 0.000399 0.000644 0.001096
2025-05-25 0.000066 0.000102 0.000156 0.000249 0.000409 0.000684 0.001214
2025-06-01 0.000061 0.000096 0.000150 0.000246 0.000416 0.000719 0.001327
2025-06-08 0.000056 0.000088 0.000142 0.000237 0.000412 0.000733 0.001401
2025-06-15 0.000053 0.000085 0.000140 0.000240 0.000429 0.000788 0.001566
2025-06-22 0.000051 0.000084 0.000141 0.000249 0.000459 0.000874 0.001816
2025-06-29 0.000047 0.000079 0.000135 0.000243 0.000462 0.000906 0.001958
2025-07-06 0.000042 0.000072 0.000125 0.000231 0.000449 0.000905 0.002024
2025-07-13 0.000040 0.000069 0.000123 0.000232 0.000462 0.000963 0.002242
2025-07-20 0.000038 0.000068 0.000122 0.000237 0.000486 0.001046 0.002541
2025-07-27 0.000036 0.000065 0.000119 0.000235 0.000495 0.001098 0.002769
2025-08-03 0.000034 0.000063 0.000117 0.000237 0.000512 0.001171 0.003072
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000060 0.000114 0.000235 0.000521 0.001223 0.003329
2025-08-17 0.000031 0.000058 0.000112 0.000234 0.000530 0.001280 0.003610
2025-08-24 0.000029 0.000055 0.000108 0.000231 0.000535 0.001325 0.003870
2025-08-31 0.000027 0.000052 0.000103 0.000223 0.000525 0.001331 0.004004